Social Security 2027 COLA projected to be one of the largest in 35 years
On Wednesday, Oct. 14, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release September inflation data, finalizing the 2027 COLA for Social Security. That day, the 2027 COLA is expected to be among the largest in 35 years, with projections at 3.5% per independent estimates.
The 3.5% raise reflects two main drivers: Trumpflation and AI infrastructure build‑out. Trumpflation, driven by tariffs and trade policy, contributed 2.9 pp to goods price inflation in 2026, while AI hardware demand increased import prices for electronics by 7.4% in the first half of 2026.
The combination of tariff‑driven price increases and AI‑driven supply chain effects is expected to push consumer prices higher, benefiting Social Security beneficiaries and boosting their purchasing power.
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