Senate races that could decide control of the chamber

Republicans hold a 53-47 majority in the US Senate, and Democrats must flip at least two seats in states that President Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024 to win a majority in November's midterm elections. As Election Day nears, Democrats have a real chance at flipping the chamber, a long‑shot at the start of this cycle. The races that will determine control of the Senate are highlighted below.

In Georgia, Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff is a juggernaut fundraiser, raising $98 million through June 30 and entering July with nearly $43 million on hand. His opponent, Republican Representative Mike Collins, has raised only $7.4 million and reported $2.1 million on hand. Recent polls show Ossoff with a double‑digit lead over Collins, and Republicans have outspent Democrats $17 million to $15 million, but Ossoff’s campaign funds may be too much for Collins to overcome.

In Michigan, Democrat Abdul El‑Sayed is fighting an open seat against Republican Mike Rogers, with El‑Sayed leading by between 1 and 7 points in recent polls. Republicans have spent $86 million in Michigan’s Senate race, more than double Democrats’ $41 million. In New Hampshire, Representative Chris Pappas is defending a seat against former Senator John Sununu, with Pappas raising $15 million to Sununu’s $4 million and a $1 million cash advantage. In Maine, Republican incumbent Susan Collins faces a Democratic challenger, and Democrats hope voters will hold her accountable for her role in confirming Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

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