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July inflation data could influence Fed rate expectations

The July consumer price index due Wednesday could affect expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next interest-rate move after weak jobs data increased attention on inflation and labor-market signals.

Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal expect CPI to rise 3.4% over the prior 12 months, down from 3.5% in June. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, is expected to rise 2.5%, compared with 2.6% in June.

Market pricing on Monday afternoon showed near-even odds for the Fed to leave rates unchanged in September or raise them to a 3.75% to 4% range, according to CME’s FedWatch tool. December expectations showed a wider range of possible outcomes.

Read the full story at investmentnews.com.

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